Morning Brief
Monday, September 8, 2025
Pre-market overview, technicals, headlines and PortfolioAI systems
TLDR Market Assessment Constructive
- US futures modestly higher ahead of CPI/PPI; debate shifts to 25 vs 50 bps Fed cut next week. Source
- Gold near record highs >$3,600 as rate-cut odds rise; Bitcoin rebounds near $112k. Source
- OPEC+ to slow production hikes in Oct supports WTI recovery. Source
- Asia mostly higher; Japan rallies on PM resignation; Europe firmer; US calendar otherwise light. Source
Market Technicals Snapshot
| Index / Asset | Last | Trend | View | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (CME) | 6,503.75 | Up | Bullish bias above 6,460 pivot | Trading Central |
| Nasdaq 100 (CME) | 23,763.80 | Up | Bullish intraday above 23,615 | Trading Central |
| Dow Jones (CME) | 45,540 | Up | New highs; bullish bias | Trading Central |
| Russell 2000 (CME) | 2,385.30 | Up | Bullish intraday | Trading Central |
| WTI Crude | $63.06 | Up | Rebound as OPEC+ slows hikes | Trading Central |
| Gold | $3,616.82 | Up | At/near record highs | Trading Central |
| Bitcoin (USD) | $112,037 | Up | Attempting rebound | Trading Central |
Economic Events (week)
- Tue: BLS jobs revisions; Consumer Credit
- Wed: PPI (Aug)
- Thu: CPI (Aug)
- US Treasury auctions: 3y, 10y, 30y
Global Indices
- Europe: firmer pre-market
- Asia: Japan +1.4% on PM resignation; HK/China modestly higher
Top Headlines & News Summary
- Futures edge higher; CPI/PPI to test odds of 25–50 bps Fed cut next week. Yahoo Finance
- Gold near records on rising cut bets; small caps poised to benefit if cuts confirmed. Yahoo Finance
- EchoStar soars after striking up-to-$17B spectrum deal with SpaceX; regulatory overhang eases. Yahoo Finance/Reuters
- Japan PM Ishiba resigns; markets digest leadership transition; yen volatility elevated. Yahoo Finance/Reuters
PortfolioAI Systems Analysis
- Market Risk On / Off: Current holding SPY; falling rates + bullish breadth support risk-on positioning. Monitor CPI surprise risk. System
- Best of Big Tech & Friends: Current holdings META, NVDA, TSLA; mega-cap momentum intact; watch rates/valuation sensitivity into CPI. System
- Best Two Commodities: Current holdings DBB (base metals), IAU (gold); supportive macro with China export miss vs. policy hopes and gold strength. System
- Bitcoin System: Neutral tactically; BTC attempting rebound around ~$112k; remains sensitive to liquidity/risk sentiment. System
- Key Risks to PortfolioAI strategies:
- Upside CPI/PPI surprise lifting real yields, pressuring growth tech and SPY.
- Policy volatility (tariffs, Japan leadership) raising FX/rates volatility.
- OPEC+ supply surprises altering commodity momentum (DBB/IAU correlation shifts).